101年8月29日（週三）

一、技術交流

1.近期我們不斷的強調SOP的重要性您會發現它的精準度非常高。

上周上課時特別發一張SOP的方塊流程圖，學員拿到後讚譽有加。

因為可一目了然的看出SOP的操作邏輯，更精準的研判漲、跌、盤的轉折點。

與預測漲、跌、盤的續航力道。是一張非常寶貴的資料。

2.SOP的三步驟：先看指領先指標，再看股市三寶。

最後由量價關係研判漲、跌、盤的續航方。台股自7月25日出現軌道線與KD二次背離的領先指標在6922止跌，可買在相對低點。


在7月27日完成上漲二寶指數由跌進入盤此時操作選擇權可賺到全數的時間價值。


7月31日完成三寶趨勢判漲，且從量價關係預估續航力較久因此在8月1日的文章預估指數可挑戰7442～7500的半年線位置。

果然本波漲到7536開始拉回。

3.在本期的上課中我們也發了一張周線的軌道圖形可清楚看到軌道上沿的位置7500～7550之間可視為領先指標。

換言之台股若漲到7500～7550之間遇到周線的領先指標（軌道上沿）即將會壓回。

果然本波在7500～7550之間整理8天之後開始拉回，不少學員在軌道上沿高出可賣到相對高點。

這不是馬後炮，本期新竹、桃園、台北上課的學員都是最佳的見證者。

4.台股在8月24時跌破45度線（可參閱技術傳承）完成下跌一寶。

大盤趨勢由「漲」進入「盤」。

研判指數在短時間之內不會突破7536的高點，因此可利用反彈時在7500或7600的履約價做賣方的CALL賺取時間價值。

手中持股亦減碼到5成以下。

K線已跌破5日均線2天明日（周四）若未重回5日均線則均線這一寶也會完成合計完成下跌二寶，可再減碼到3成以下。

5.從量價關係來看本波在7400～7500狹幅整理近9天的時間，因成交量大都低於基本量且未出現攻擊量，因此指數無法往上攻擊只好先作出拉回。

不過從期貨指數可看出連跌兩天之後RSI的開口已達24符合「RSI臨界值的領先指標」。

預估近日可望反彈操作期指的朋友可伺機搶短多單有賺就跑。

大盤也是如此。

若反彈後量價配合不當仍有下跌機會。

目前指數暫看7350～7550區間整理。

可少量低進高出應對。

就最後預祝各位讀者操作順利成功。

◎本文僅是作者自己的看法與書友學員分享






 

1.上圖是期指日線扇形圖形。A線明日位置7407站上不破可短多。急漲到B線7528站不上可短空。若跌破A線7407停損多單反手做空。

2.上圖是期指周線扇形圖形。本周B線7552是壓力空點。軌道上沿7598也是空點。A線7389不破可短多。跌破7389停損多單反手做空。

3.上圖是大盤45度線圖。A線上升45度線標準畫法。B、C、D線是精緻畫法。8月24日已跌破上升45度D線。趨勢由「漲」進入「盤」應減碼至5成以下。E線是下降45度線標準畫法明日                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              位置7466。F線是精緻畫法明日位置7408。E線與F線每天以20點的速度下移。