你也許不認為數學家跟預估妳的愛情生活有特別的關連. 但你錯了--前提是我們談論在 Seattle 的一位 Washington 大學的數學家 James Murray, 他與心理學家 John Gottman 合作研究愛情上的困難處. 以下是他們兩個做的. 他們錄製了數百位自願的情侶們互相討論一些如性或金錢等事件時的情形. 妳知道的--分類是依據每個人同意的項目, 對吧?
接著, 他們將這些容易使人高度緊張的討論行為回應區分出可辨識的群組, 例如說這一對情侶 A 和 B 兩人, A 總被 B 說服, 或者當 B 冷潮熱諷 A 時, A 會有生氣的反應. 依據這些不同因子而利用數學的形式建立出來一個公式, 並導向...等!....最終會預測這個婚姻.
聽起來很玄嗎? 想一下, 妳不可能僅從單獨的訪談和一些計算公式就能大致地分辨這一對情侶? 四年後, Murray 和 Gottman 做了追蹤去了解這個公式是否產生對的預測. 最終發現--這一次他們的數學上的婚姻預測準確度達到驚人的94%.
一些明顯的研究發現以下這些事實, 婚姻的持續, 情侶嘲笑超過五次以上的頻率會導致分離. 這個團隊也發現有一種行為大多數會導致離婚收場, 這個行為就是輕視另一半或嘲笑另一半的外觀. 根據數學上的婚姻預測, 它是說" 翻起白眼, 跟他說再見吧. "
以下是原文:
The mathematical marriage predictor.
You might not think that mathematicians have anything particularly relevant to say about your love life. But you'd be wrong--if we're talking about James Murray, a mathematician at the University of Washington in Seattle who teamed up with Psychologist John Gottman to explore the rocky road of romance. Here's what the two did. They videotaped hundreds of volunteer couples discussing such things as sex and money. You know--the sorts of things on which everybody always agrees, right?
Then they broke down behavioral responses to these high-pressure discussions into recognizable groups, such as whether partner A can be persuaded by partner B, or whether partner A takes offense when partner B makes a cutting remark. A set of equations was drawn up that represented the interactions of these different factors in mathematical form, leading to...Ding!...a prediction as to whether this marriage would last.
Sound like a stretch? Think you can't possibly tell that much about a couple from a single interview and some calculations? Four years later Murray and Gottman did a follow-up to see whether the equation had made the right prediction. It sure had--their Mathematical Marriage Predictor was right an astonishing ninety-four percent of the time.
Some conspicuous findings included the fact that, in marriages that lasted, laughing occurred five times more frequently than in couples destined for break-up. The team also found that the one behavior that most consistently predicted divorce was the appearance of a contemptuous or mocking facial expression on one partner's face when the other one spoke. According to the Mathematical Marriage Predictor, it's "roll your eyes and say goodbyes."
|
住戶編號:1295926
檢舉原因
心情: 
